Noble Park (Vic.)

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According to the analysis of ABS demographic updates for the surrounding region alongside newly validated address records from Districts since the Census, the suburb of Noble Park has a projected residency of approximately 34,570 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 2,313 residents (7.2%) compared to the 2021 Census, which registered a count of 32,257 people. This shift is calculated from a resident base of 34,384, computed by Districts utilizing the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with an additional 319 validated new addresses registered after the Census date. With this population level, the locality reaches a density of 4,033 persons per square kilometer, placing it within the top 10% of all Australian regions analyzed by Districts, highlighting local land as a highly sought-after asset. The 7.2% growth rate in the suburb of Noble Park since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA3 region (7.0%), positioning it as a regional growth leader. This population growth was predominantly driven by international migration, which accounted for roughly of the overall population gains in recent times.

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Noble Park boasts a highly skilled labor pool, with manufacturing and industrial fields playing a major role, an unemployment rate of 7.0%, and an estimated employment growth of 3.8% over the previous year, according to Districts aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 17,332 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate stands at 2.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%, while workforce participation remains notably lower at 63.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.2%. Census data indicates that a moderate 14.5% of residents worked from home, although the influence of Covid-19 lockdowns should be taken into account.

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Based on Districts analysis of postcode-level ATO statistics released for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Noble Park recorded a median income of $45,205 and an average income of $50,103. These figures sit below the national average and compare to Greater Melbourne medians and averages of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 would be approximately $49,554 for the median and $54,923 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in Noble Park fell between the 15th and 27th percentiles nationally. The dominant cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, comprising 33.1% of residents (11,442 people), which closely mirrors the metropolitan rate of . Affordability challenges are pronounced, with residents retaining only of their income after housing costs, ranking at the rd percentile.

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At the time of the latest Census, the housing mix in Noble Park consisted of 65.1% separate houses and 34.9% multi-unit dwellings such as townhouses, flats, and other configurations, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings across Greater Melbourne. Home ownership rates in Noble Park were slightly below the metropolitan average at 27.9%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (30.5%) or tenants renting (41.7%). The median monthly home loan repayment was recorded at $1,647, which is notably lower than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent stood at $341 compared to the metropolitan median of $390. On a national level, Noble Park residents pay mortgage costs well below the Australian median of $1,863, and rent costs that are less than the national figure of $375.

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Families represent the primary household structure at 68.2% of the total, which includes 30.9% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 31.8%, consisting of lone person households at 26.4% and group shared housing at 5.3%. The median household occupancy is 2.7 people, which is slightly larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

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Educational attainment levels present developmental challenges for the locality, with university degree holders making up 26.2% of the population, considerably lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This gap highlights both an area of need and a focus point for future educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are the most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 7.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.6%. Technical and vocational credentials are well represented, with 26.3% of residents aged 15 and over holding a qualification, comprising advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificate level credentials at 15.5%.

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An assessment of public transport shows 87 active transit stops operating in Noble Park, consisting of various bus options. These stops are served by 17 different routes, providing a combined total of 3,531 passenger trips per week. Transit access is classified as good, with residents living an average of 242 meters from their nearest stop. Because it is primarily a residential area, the majority of commuters travel outside the suburb, with private cars being the primary mode of transport at 82%, followed by train travel at 11%. The average number of motor vehicles is 1.2 per household. Additionally, 14.5% of workers worked from home, based on 2021 Census data that may reflect pandemic conditions.

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Public health metrics reveal positive outcomes for the population of Noble Park, with Districts research into mortality rates and medical diagnoses indicating results that align closely with national averages. The incidence of common health issues is low among the general community, though it exceeds national rates within older, vulnerable demographics, and private healthcare enrollment is low, covering only 47% of the population (~16,158 people). This compares to coverage rates of 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

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Noble Park ranks as one of the most multicultural communities in the nation, with 68.8% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 63.9% born in another country. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 34.7% of the local population. However, the most pronounced religious concentration is in Buddhism, which accounts for 19.7% of residents, a rate far higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%.

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The median age of 35 years in the suburb of Noble Park is slightly below Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and also lower than the national figure of 38 years. The 25 - 34 demographic has a strong presence at 20.3% compared to Greater Melbourne, whereas the 5 - 14 group is less represented at 9.5%. The proportion of residents aged 25 - 34 is notably higher than the national rate of 14.6%. Since 2021, the 65 to 74 cohort has increased from 8.0% to 8.8% of the population, while the 0 to 4 group has dropped from 6.4% to 5.5%. Demographic projections for 2041 point to significant changes in Noble Park's age profile. The to age bracket is expected to grow substantially, increasing by residents () from to . Furthermore, cohorts aged and over will account for of the overall population growth, reflecting an aging trend, while the to and to demographics are projected to contract.

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Noble Park currently has an estimated 1,901 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 1,133 children aged 0-2 and 757 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 8% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 3% by 2041 (to approximately 1,853 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 2,613. Birth rates in the area have averaged 12.5 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a high rate (among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.