Dural (NSW)

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Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by Districts since the Census Dural's population is estimated at around 7,922 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 22 people (0.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,900 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,920, estimated by Districts following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 58 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 232 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Dural's 0.3% growth since census positions it within 1.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.1%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

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Dural possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 4.3%, and relative employment stability over the past year, based on Districts aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 4,069 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.2% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation lags significantly (63.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 69.1%). Based on Census responses, a high 49.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

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As per Districts' latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, the suburb of Dural's median income among taxpayers is $58,062, with an average of $118,526. This is exceptionally high nationally, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $64,054 (median) and $130,758 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 90th percentile ($2,489 weekly). Income analysis reveals the $4000+ earnings band captures 29.6% of the community (2,344 individuals), differing from patterns across the broader area where - dominates with . Economic strength emerges through of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for of income while strong earnings rank residents within the th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the th decile.

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Dwelling structure within Dural, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 80.2% houses and 19.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Dural was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 46.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (38.7%) or rented (15.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,033, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Dural's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

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Family households dominate at 80.9% of all households, comprising 45.6% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.1%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (37.3% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the SA3 area average of 29.9% and that of Australia (30.4%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 25.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (18.2%).

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Public transport analysis reveals 107 active transport stops operating within Dural comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 145 individual routes, collectively providing 2,718 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 263 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 5% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, above the regional average. A high 49.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

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Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Dural, based on Districts' assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions , and the rate of private health cover found to be exceptionally high at approximately 74% of the total population (5,829 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The national average is 55.7%.

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Dural was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 34.2% of its population born overseas and 28.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Dural was found to be Christianity, which makes up 62.3% of people in Dural. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

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The 45-year median age in Dural is significantly above Greater Sydney's average of 37 similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Dural has a higher concentration of 55 - 64 residents (14.5%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (7.8%). Following the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.2% to 15.1% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 8.0% to 9.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 15.3% to 14.0% and the 35 to group dropped from to . Looking ahead to demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Dural's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the + group will grow by ( people), reaching from . Notably, the combined + age groups will account for of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both to and to age groups will see reduced numbers.

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Dural currently has an estimated 285 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 172 children aged 0-2 and 115 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 12% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 8% by 2041 (to approximately 261 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 830. Birth rates in the area have averaged 7.9 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a low rate (among the bottom 30% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.