Junction Village (Vic.)

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Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the suburb of Junction Village's population is estimated at around 1,841 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 790 people (75.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,051 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,565, estimated by Districts following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 337 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,547 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by Districts. Junction Village's 75.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

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Junction Village has a balanced workforce comprising both white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent with an unemployment rate of 2.9%. In the past year, ending December 2025, employment grew by an estimated 4.9%.

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Junction Village's income level is lower than average nationally, according to latest ATO data aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023. The suburb's median income among taxpayers is $27,851 and the average income stands at $31,277, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $30,149 (median) and $33,857 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Junction Village fall between the 3rd and 6th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The largest income segment comprises 31.7% earning $400 - $799 weekly (583 residents), contrasting with the surrounding region where the - bracket leads at . Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the th percentile nationally.

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Junction Village's housing structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 65.9% houses and 34.1% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's housing structure of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Junction Village stood at 45.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.5% and rented ones at 14.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $326, substantially below Melbourne metro's $390 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Junction Village's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863.

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Family households constitute 59.4% of all households, including 19.6% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 40.6%, with lone person households at 38.9% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

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The area's university qualification rate is 9.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.2%) and certificates (28.5%). A total of 20.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 7.4% in primary, 4.4% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

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Junction Village has six active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by two routes that together offer 91 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents' average distance to the nearest stop being 208 meters. The area, predominantly residential, sees most commuters traveling outward; cars remain the primary mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, only 12.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

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Junction Village faces significant health challenges, as indicated by Districts' assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 39% of the total population (around 725 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

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Junction Village showed cultural diversity levels below average, with 80.0% of its population born in Australia, 90.7% being citizens, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.3%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

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Junction Village has a median age of 52, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The proportion of residents aged 85 and above is 12.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne, while those aged 15-24 are less prevalent at 3.9%. This concentration of the 85+ age group is well above the national figure of 2.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, Junction Village has seen a rejuvenation, with its median age falling from 54 to 52 years. Notably, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has grown from 8.3% to 14.7%, and those aged 5-14 have increased from 8.2% to . Conversely, the proportion of residents aged - has declined from to , and those aged - have dropped from to . By Junction Village is expected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The number of residents aged and above is projected to increase substantially by people (), from to . Residents aged and above will drive of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the numbers in the - age range are expected to decrease by .

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Junction Village currently has an estimated 90 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 95 children aged 0-2 and 64 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 64% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 22% by 2041 (to approximately 110 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 243. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 28.6 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally.