Karabar contains 1 Long Day Care centre (48 places), 5 preschool/kindergarten facilities (167 places) and 1 OSHC facility (145 places). Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 538 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 2.5 - placing the area below the national average for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 11.3 children per place (lower quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show an undersupply of LDC places across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with just 48 places across 1 facility serving a total of 323 children while preschool supply is strong with 5 facilities providing 167 places (1.3 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Regional NSW average of 4.4). With projected population growth of -6.6% between now and 2041, and 1.5% in the under 5 age group in particular, 2 new places will be needed to maintain today's ratios. Socioeconomic performance in the area in the way of income and employment figures, including female workforce participation, are broadly in line with national averages.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 14.7 per 100 residents with 1,236 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This above-average concentration of school places suggests the area serves as something of a destination for educational services, which typically supports elevated childcare demand through school run convenience patterns. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area. Fee analysis shows fees are notably lower than national averages. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
7 school catchments intersect Karabar (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 4,951 children aged under 5 reside, served by 3,599 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.4 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Karabar and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.