Mansfield (Vic.)

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Based on evaluation of ABS demographic releases for the surrounding region, combined with fresh address validations performed by Districts after the Census, the suburb of Mansfield (Vic.) has a population projected to be roughly 6,085 in May 2026. This represents an expansion of 544 individuals (9.8%) compared to the 2021 Census, which counted 5,541 residents. This shift is calculated from a resident headcount of 6,083, which Districts computed by analyzing the ABS June 2025 ERP release alongside 196 newly confirmed addresses added since the Census date. This population level yields a density of 22 persons per square kilometer, indicating a highly spacious environment. The 9.8% expansion rate of Mansfield (Vic.) since the 2021 census outstripped both the 2.9% rate of the SA4 region and the Rest of Vic. average, positioning it as a local growth standout. The demographic expansion was heavily supported by interstate arrivals, who represented roughly 65.0% of the overall population growth during recent times.

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The local workforce is highly skilled and distributed across various industries, maintaining an unemployment rate of only 2.6%, based on aggregated statistical area figures compiled by Districts. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 2,897, with the unemployment rate tracking 1.1% below the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, while the labor participation rate of 58.7% falls slightly behind the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%. Data from the Census indicates that 14.4% of the working population performed their duties from home, though this figure was likely influenced by pandemic-related restrictions.

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Based on Districts' aggregation of the latest tax data released by the ATO for financial year 2023, the taxpayer base in the suburb of Mansfield recorded a median income of $45,222 and an average income of $61,230. These figures are below the national benchmarks and compare to median and average levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Adjusting these numbers for a 9.62% Wage Price Index increase since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $49,572 for median income and $67,120 for average income in March 2026. The 2021 Census indicates that individual earnings place the area at the 40th percentile ($758 per week), with household earnings tracking at the 24th percentile. The largest income group comprises 30.7% of residents (1,868 people) earning between and which matches the wider region where fall into this range. Discretionary income remaining after housing costs stands at , although this ranks at the th percentile on a national level, and the local SEIFA income metric sits in the th decile.

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The housing profile in Mansfield at the time of the latest Census was dominated by separate houses at 93.0%, with other housing types (including semi-detached units, apartments, and alternative structures) accounting for 7.0%, compared to 90.1% separate houses and 9.9% alternative dwellings in Regional Vic.. The rate of outright home ownership was significantly higher than the regional average, standing at 45.4%, while mortgaged properties accounted for 32.7% and rented properties made up 21.9% of households. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,603 was notably higher than the Regional Vic. median of $1,430, and the median weekly rent of $331 exceeded the regional figure of $285. On a national scale, mortgage commitments in Mansfield are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rental costs remain well below the national median of $375.

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Families represent the primary household type at 67.9%, consisting of couples with children at 24.0%, couples without children at 33.5%, and single parent households at 9.7%. The remaining 32.1% are non-family households, which are mostly single-person households at 30.2%, with group houses accounting for 2.1%. The median household occupancy of 2.3 individuals is slightly lower than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

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The community exhibits lower levels of formal higher education, with university graduation rates of 20.9% falling well behind the VIC average of 33.4%. This highlights a gap that could be addressed through targeted learning programs. Among university graduates, bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.4%, with graduate diplomas at 3.5% and postgraduate degrees at 3.0%. Conversely, vocational and technical qualifications are widespread, with 42.4% of residents aged 15 and older holding credentials, split between advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 29.7%.

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Analysis of transit options indicates 2 active public transport stops within Mansfield, which are serviced by 2 routes providing a combined total of 26 passenger trips per week. Access to public transit is categorized as limited, with residents living an average of 1160 meters from the nearest stop. Because Mansfield is mostly residential, the majority of workers commute outside the area, with private cars being the primary mode of travel at 89%, followed by walking at 8%. Motor vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.6 vehicles per household. Additionally, 14.4% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect conditions during the pandemic.

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Mansfield displays positive health metrics based on Districts' evaluation of mortality data and the incidence of chronic conditions. The rate of common ailments is low among the general population, though it exceeds national averages when focusing on older, higher-risk groups. Private health insurance uptake is relatively low, covering approximately 51% of the population (~3,108 people).

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The local population displays limited cultural variety, with 88.7% of residents born in Australia, 90.9% holding citizenship, and 95.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, practiced by 46.5% of residents. The most notable religious overrepresentation occurs in Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of the population, matching the 0.1% average for Regional Vic..

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With a median age of 46, Mansfield is older than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and significantly older than the national median of 38. The 65 - 74 demographic is strongly represented at 13.9% compared to Regional Vic., while the 15 - 24 cohort is less common at 10.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 grew from 7.7% to 10.3%, and the 25 to 34 age bracket rose from 9.7% to 10.9%. On the other hand, the 55 to 64 group decreased from 15.0% to 12.8%, and the 5 to cohort declined from to . By Mansfield will undergo clear changes in its age profile. The + cohort is projected to lead this shift with a increase (adding people) to reach residents from a base of while the to and to groups are projected to contract.

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Mansfield currently has an estimated 292 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 139 children aged 0-2 and 93 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 17% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 6% by 2041 (to approximately 310 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 568. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been low, with approximately 6.5 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the bottom 20% of areas assessed nationally.