Melbourne contains 11 Long Day Care centres (1,189 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (58 places) and 1 OSHC facility (60 places), with overall provision relative to the local child population appearing favorable compared to national benchmarks, and above the Greater Melbourne average on a resident basis — though likely far tighter supply once significant daily workforce inflows to the area are considered. Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 1,046 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 0.9 - placing the area among the top 20% nationally for supply per child on a resident basis, though closer to ~1.9 once estimated daytime workforce inflow is factored in. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 1.0 children per place (upper quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show strong LDC provision for the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with 1,189 places across 11 facilities serving 702 children while preschool supply is constrained with 1 facility providing 58 places (8.1 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6). With projected population growth of 33.0% between now and 2041, and 35.3% in the under 5 age group in particular, 258 new places will be needed to maintain today's ratios. As well as this projected growth, other factors worth noting are high female labour force participation of 66.6%, as well as lower than average income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 8.6 per 100 residents with 6,457 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. A lower-than-typical rate which suggests pressure might be taken off local services somewhat by school hubs in nearby areas. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Out of school hours child care provision is similarly constrained, with 60 places for the 5-12 cohort. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average while high fees are observed despite adequate supply suggesting premium positioning or quality differentiation.
18 school catchments intersect Melbourne (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 11,884 children aged under 5 reside, served by 19,015 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 0.6 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Melbourne and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.