Tuncurry (NSW)

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According to investigations of ABS demographic releases for the wider region, alongside newly verified address data from Districts following the Census, the population of the suburb of Tuncurry is calculated at approximately 6,233 in May 2026. This represents a contraction of 143 residents (2.2%) from the 2021 Census, which registered 6,376 individuals. This shift is derived from a resident headcount of 6,229, projected by Districts using the most recent ABS ERP statistics from June 2025 in combination with 38 validated new addresses added since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 397 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious environment with capacity for future growth. The expansion of the local population was mostly fueled by interstate arrivals, who accounted for roughly 87.0% of the total demographic growth in recent times.

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The suburb of Tuncurry features a balanced job market comprising both professional and trade occupations, with a notable presence of essential public services and an unemployment rate of 5.7%, according to Districts figures compiled from regional statistics. In March 2026, there were 2,129 working residents, with the local jobless rate sitting 1.6% higher than the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is notably lower at 39.9% compared to 60.6% across Regional NSW. Census records indicate that only 9.4% of working locals operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic-related movement restrictions.

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The suburb of Tuncurry shows income averages that fall below national benchmarks, according to the latest ATO tax statistics compiled by Districts for the 2023 financial year. Taxpayers in this area record a median income of $36,096 and an average income of $47,708, compared to Regional NSW benchmarks of $52,390 and $65,215. Applying the Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year yields estimated values of approximately $39,821 for the median and $52,631 for the average in March 2026. The 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and individual incomes all rank between the lowest and 3rd percentiles across the country. In terms of earnings distribution, 38.7% of local earners (representing 2,412 people) fall into the weekly bracket of $400 - 799, whereas the leading cohort in the wider region is the - range at . Because of individuals earn less than weekly, the area faces notable financial constraints that restrict local retail spending. Mortgage holders experience high financial pressure, with only of income remaining after housing costs, placing the area in the rd national percentile.

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The mix of housing in the suburb of Tuncurry at the time of the last Census consisted of 54.3% separate houses and 45.7% alternative housing styles including semi-detached options, units, and other dwellings, which differs from the Regional NSW profile of 82.6% separate houses and 17.4% alternative dwellings. Outright home ownership is high, standing at 54.3%, while the remaining households consist of those with mortgages (16.8%) and those renting (29.0%). The median monthly home loan payment was $1,322, which is lower than the Regional NSW median of $1,733, and the median weekly rent was recorded at $310 compared to the regional median of $330. Nationally, local mortgage commitments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and typical weekly rents are also lower than the national figure of $375.

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Families comprise the majority of local households at 56.8%, which includes 11.9% couples raising children, 34.0% couples without children, and 10.1% single parents. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 43.2%, consisting of lone occupant households at 40.6% and shared group households at 2.6%. The typical household size of 1.9 residents is smaller than the Regional NSW median of 2.4.

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Educational outcomes in the area show areas for improvement, with university graduation rates of 10.0% sitting well below the state benchmark of 32.2%. This gap presents a clear focus area for future education programs. Undergraduates holding bachelor degrees form the largest university-educated group at 7.5%, followed by those with postgraduate degrees at 1.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.2%. Vocational training and practical trades are common, with 42.7% of residents aged 15 and over possessing technical qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 9.8% and certificates at 32.9%.

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Public transport services in the suburb of Tuncurry include 90 active stops, which consist of bus connections. These stops are served by 24 separate routes that provide 409 passenger trips every week. Accessibility is high, with residents living an average of 105 meters from their nearest transit stop. Because the area is mostly residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles being the primary mode of travel for 90% of workers, and 8% choosing to walk. Dwellings average 0.9 vehicles, which is lower than the regional average. A relatively low proportion of residents (9.4%) worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 rules.

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Local health assessments indicate notable challenges in the suburb of Tuncurry, based on Districts evaluations of mortality statistics and the occurrence of long-term health issues across both younger and older demographics, with private medical cover being very uncommon at roughly 46% of the population, representing approximately 2,859 individuals. This is lower than the Regional NSW rate of 51.9% and the national standard of 55.7%.

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The suburb of Tuncurry has lower levels of cultural diversity than the national average, with 88.9% of residents born in Australia, 92.3% holding citizenship, and 96.5% using only English in their homes. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, practiced by 64.6% of residents, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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The median age of 61 years in the suburb of Tuncurry is older than the Regional NSW median of 43 years and higher than the national median of 38 years. The cohort aged 75 - 84 is highly represented locally at 16.5% compared to the regional average, while children aged 5 - 14 are less common at 6.5%. The proportion of residents aged 75 - 84 is higher than the national figure of 6.1%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 grew from 6.6% to 8.6%, and the 25 to 34 group increased from 6.6% to 8.0%. Conversely, the 55 to bracket fell from to , and the to group decreased from to . Projections for the year suggest changes in local age brackets, with the to group expected to grow by people () from to while the to age bracket is expected to grow by only , adding residents.

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Tuncurry currently has an estimated 174 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 104 children aged 0-2 and 69 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 2% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 33% by 2041 (to approximately 231 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 322. Birth rates in the area have averaged 5.4 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a low rate (among the bottom 20% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.