Vincentia (NSW)

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Based on evaluation of ABS demographic updates for the broader zone, alongside new addresses validated by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Vincentia has an estimated population of approximately 3,620 as of May 2026. This represents a reduction of 250 individuals (6.5%) compared to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 3,870 people. This shift is calculated from a resident population of 3,613, estimated by Districts following analysis of the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) and an extra 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population level yields a density ratio of 272 persons per square kilometer, which offers substantial space per individual and capacity for subsequent expansion. Overseas migration was the primary driver of local growth, accounting for approximately 53.0% of overall population gains in recent times, though all indicators, including interstate migration and natural growth, remained positive.

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The suburb of Vincentia has a highly educated workforce, a solid representation of essential services industries, and an unemployment rate of only 2.2%, compiled by Districts from statistical area data. As of March 2026, there are 1,534 employed residents, and the unemployment rate is 1.9% lower than the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is notably lower (51.2% versus 60.6% in Regional NSW). According to Census records, a moderate 18.5% of workers worked from home, though the influence of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions should be taken into account.

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The most recent postcode-level ATO data from Districts for financial year 2023 indicates that incomes in the suburb of Vincentia are exceptionally high on a national scale, with a median assessed at $59,623 and an average of $75,157. This is higher than the Regional NSW median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current figures are estimated to be approximately $65,776 (median) and $82,913 (average) as of March 2026. From the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in the suburb of Vincentia are moderate, falling between the 38th and 49th percentiles. Income distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket accounts for 31.1% of the community (1,125 individuals), which aligns with wider regional trends of in this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain of their income for other expenses, and the area's SEIFA income index ranks in the th decile.

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The distribution of dwelling types in the suburb of Vincentia at the most recent Census was 91.6% houses and 8.4% other dwelling types (such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative dwellings), compared to Regional NSW where houses comprised 82.6% and other dwellings made up 17.4%. The home ownership rate in the suburb of Vincentia was significantly higher than the Regional NSW average, standing at 48.5%, while the remaining households had a mortgage (27.2%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment was notably higher than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, coming in at $2,000, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $425, compared to $330 in Regional NSW. Nationally, mortgage repayments in the suburb of Vincentia exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also well above the national median of $375.

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Family households make up the majority at 70.9% of all homes, consisting of 22.9% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.4% single-parent households. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 29.1%, with single-person households at 27.3% and group homes making up 2.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.2 residents is slightly below the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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Academic achievement in the suburb of Vincentia is significantly higher than regional averages, with 29.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees, compared to 19.0% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. This educational lead positions the community well for knowledge-intensive roles. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational and technical skills are also highly prevalent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (27.4%).

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Analysis of public transport shows 45 active transit stops in the suburb of Vincentia, consisting of a mix of bus services. These stops are serviced by 19 unique routes, which provide 435 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is ranked as excellent, with residents living an average of 168 meters from the nearest stop. Being a mostly residential area, the majority of residents travel elsewhere for work, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 94%, while 4% of residents walk. The average number of vehicles per household is 1.5. Around 18.5% of residents work from home, based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

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Health indicators demonstrate positive trends for residents of the suburb of Vincentia, with Districts' analysis of mortality and medical conditions indicating results that align closely with national baselines, showing low rates of common health conditions across both older and younger cohorts. The level of private health insurance is very high, covering approximately 57% of the population (~2,049 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW.

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The suburb of Vincentia is below the national average for cultural diversity, with 80.7% of residents born in Australia, 91.9% holding citizenship, and 91.8% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 50.0% of the community. However, the most distinct overrepresentation is seen in Judaism, which accounts for 0.2% of the local population compared to 0.1% across Regional NSW.

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With a median age of 49, the suburb of Vincentia is older than the Regional NSW median of 43 and well above the Australian median of 38 years. Relative to Regional NSW, the 75 - 84 demographic is heavily represented at 10.9%, while the 25 - 34 cohort is underrepresented at 8.6%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has expanded from 7.8% to 10.9% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 7.3% to 9.4%. On the other hand, the 65 to 74 demographic decreased from 18.0% to 13.2%, and the to group fell from to . Looking to demographic projections indicate significant shifts in the age structure of the suburb of Vincentia. The to cohort is expected to grow strongly, increasing by people () from to while the to demographic is projected to grow by a modest ( people).

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Vincentia currently has an estimated 206 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 100 children aged 0-2 and 68 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 16% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 38% by 2041 (to approximately 285 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 234. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 9.2 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally.