Northgate contains 2 Long Day Care centres (177 places) on a resident basis — though likely far tighter supply once significant daily workforce inflows to the area are considered. With no preschool/kindergarten services observed in the area, only long day care, the ratio of children per place for the under 5 age group is 1.7 - placing the area slightly above the national average for supply per child on a resident basis, though closer to ~1.9 once estimated daytime workforce inflow is factored in. Projected population decline of 11.8% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are high female labour force participation of 70.2%.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 6.6 per 100 residents with 341 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. A lower-than-typical rate which suggests pressure might be taken off local services somewhat by school hubs in nearby areas. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average.
7 school catchments intersect Northgate (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 5,045 children aged under 5 reside, served by 4,507 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.1 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Northgate and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.