58,187

People

est. as @ 17 Jul 2026

2021 Census | 54,118 people

85.85 km²

Land area

677.8 /km²

Density

5.7%

Unemployment

260 /yr

Resi approvals

Situated 53 kilometers east-southeast from the Melbourne CBD, the suburb of Pakenham stands out as a highly dynamic community experiencing significant growth. As of May 2026, the population is estimated at approximately 58,187, a figure calculated from annual SA2-level Estimated Resident Population updates and quarterly national address data. This represents a robust increase of 4,069 people, or 7.5%, since the 2021 Census when the population was recorded at 54,118 people. This strong expansion profile makes the suburb one of the fastest-growing areas in the nation, characterized by a high proportion of children and a particularly elevated representation of residents in the 0 to 4yo age group. Several key market factors shape the local landscape. The suburb of Pakenham has a notable presence of residents in the 35 to 44yo age bracket and a high proportion of mortgage holders. The local economy is supported by a pronounced manufacturing employment base, and future employment prospects look positive given high industry employment forecasts. Additionally, the area features a standout demographic profile with a high proportion of young families, reinforcing its status as one of the country's most prominent growth corridors.

Estimated residents are up from 54,118 at the 2021 Census — a change of 4,069 people, or 7.5%.

Districts View

Data to 17 Jul 2026

Should you spend time looking in Pakenham?

Metrici

Pakenham

Latest FY Approvals

320

46,344

185,138

Current FY-to-Date Approvals

269

39,880

184,871

–Detached House Approvals

200/79.3%

19,891/55.0%

89,436/61.9%

–Attached/Other Approvals

52/20.7%

16,302/45.0%

55,043/38.1%

Average Annual Approvals

260

46,055

188,882

Total 5-Year Approvals

1,301

230,275

944,410

Approvals per 1,000 People (2yr)

3.8

8.2

6.5

Approvals per 1,000 People (5yr)

4.7

7.2

Pop Growth per Approval (2yr)

2.8

2.6

2.8

Pop Growth per Approval (5yr)

2.2

1.6

2.1

Persons per Approval

266

125

158

Residential Value per Unit

358

367

342

Commercial Development Value

19,606

17,870,380

105,080,908

Development Drivers Ranking

100

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Latest Population Est.	58,187	5,467,717	27,798,796
Growth Since Census	7.5%	11.2%	9.3%
Population 2021 Census	54,118	4,917,750	25,422,788
Natural Increase	54.0%	20.0%	20.0%
Overseas Migration	46.0%	80.0%	80.0%
Interstate Migration	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Population Forecast Growth (2041)	33.1%	27.3%	19.8%
Persons per Square Kilometer	677	547	3

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Total Employment	29,790	2,999,459	14,651,372
–Health Care & Social Assistance	15.3%	14.2%	15.2%
–Construction	12.7%	9.7%	9.3%
–Retail Trade	11.4%	9.8%	9.5%
Labour Force	31,600	3,149,663	15,298,546
Participation Rate	70.5%	70.2%	67.2%
Working from Home	17.9%	32.6%	23.9%
Unemployment	5.7%	4.8%	4.2%
1Yr Emp. Growth	3.6%	2.1%	1.5%
5Yr Emp. Growth Forecast	6.1%	6.6%	6.5%
Employment Drivers Ranking	35	67	100

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Median Annual Income Est.	55,729	63,238	62,634
Average Annual Income Est.	63,132	82,395	80,499
ATO Median Taxable Income	50,838	57,688	57,137
ATO Average Taxable Income	57,592	75,164	73,435
Median Household Income	1,664	1,901	1,746
–$0 to 399	951 (4.8%)	124,775 (6.3%)	638,312 (6.3%)
–$400 to 799	3,032 (15.3%)	273,317 (13.8%)	1,671,771 (16.5%)
–$800 to 1,499	4,954 (25.0%)	398,092 (20.1%)	2,158,104 (21.3%)
–$1,500 to 2,999	7,906 (39.9%)	649,623 (32.8%)	3,201,695 (31.6%)
–$3,000 to 3,999	1,882 (9.5%)	235,687 (11.9%)	1,114,514 (11.0%)
–$4,000+	1,110 (5.6%)	299,065 (15.1%)	1,357,681 (13.4%)
Median Family Income	1,879	2,243	2,120
–$0 to 399	481 (3.2%)	51,956 (3.7%)	236,192 (3.3%)
–$400 to 799	1,548 (10.3%)	126,379 (9.0%)	758,676 (10.6%)
–$800 to 1,499	3,621 (24.1%)	263,993 (18.8%)	1,474,408 (20.6%)
–$1,500 to 2,999	6,866 (45.8%)	504,114 (35.9%)	2,562,321 (35.8%)
–$3,000 to 3,999	1,638 (10.9%)	203,611 (14.5%)	973,396 (13.6%)
–$4,000+	841 (5.6%)	254,163 (18.1%)	1,145,171 (16.0%)
Median Personal Income	783	841	805
–$0 to 399	15,551 (26.7%)	1,470,816 (26.9%)	7,303,780 (26.3%)
–$400 to 799	14,095 (24.2%)	1,170,091 (21.4%)	6,526,191 (23.5%)
–$800 to 1,499	18,464 (31.7%)	1,399,736 (25.6%)	7,137,153 (25.7%)
–$1,500 to 2,999	9,203 (15.8%)	1,099,011 (20.1%)	5,359,808 (19.3%)
–$3,000 to 3,499	408 (0.7%)	114,822 (2.1%)	527,649 (1.9%)
–$3,500+	466 (0.8%)	213,241 (3.9%)	944,215 (3.4%)
–Low Income (<$800/wk)	20.1%	20.1%	22.8%
–High Income (>$3,000/wk)	15.1%	27.0%	24.4%
Largest Income Group	$1,500 - 2,999	$1,500 - 2,999	$1,500 - 2,999
Household Disposable Income	5,885	6,948	6,376
SEIFA Score	4	6.3	5.6

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Total Dwellings (Census)	18,451	1,781,344	9,275,218
–Owned Outright	19.5%	30.7%	32.1%
–Owned with Mortgage	48.3%	38.2%	36.2%
–Rented	32.1%	31.1%	31.7%
–Detached Houses	86.4%	67.9%	72.5%
–Semi-Detached	12.7%	16.2%	12.6%
–Apartments	0.6%	15.6%	14.3%
–Other Dwellings	0.3%	0.3%	0.6%
–Median Monthly Mortgage	1,733	2,000	1,863
–Median Weekly Rent	351	390	375
–$0-149/wk	2.6%	4.6%	7.3%
–$150-349/wk	39.5%	27.4%	33.4%
–$350-649/wk	56.6%	59.7%	50.9%
–$650-949/wk	0.7%	6.4%	6.6%
–>$950/wk	0.6%	1.9%	1.8%
–Aggregate Housing Cost	1,325	1,289	1,189
–Mortgage / Income	24.0%	24.3%	24.6%
–Rent / Income	21.1%	20.5%	21.5%
–Persons per Bedroom	0.8	0.9	0.8

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Current Household Est.	19,835	1,980,559	10,142,077
Median Household Size	2.8	2.6	2.5
Total Households (Census)	18,448	1,781,346	9,275,217
–Lone Person Households	21.6%	24.8%	25.6%
–Group Households	2.8%	4.3%	3.9%
–Other Households	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
–Family Households	75.6%	70.9%	70.5%
–Couple with Children	37.0%	34.5%	31.4%
–Couple No Children	22.8%	24.5%	26.8%
–One Parent Family	14.7%	10.6%	11.1%
–Avg Children per Family	1.6	1.4	1.6
Currently Married	46.2%	47.0%	46.5%
Never Married	36.9%	38.0%	36.5%

Pakenham (Vic.)

Should you spend time looking in Pakenham?

Why look here

What could hold it back

Property sales trends in Pakenham (Vic.)

Housing development & building approvals in Pakenham (Vic.)

Development applications

Infrastructure & major projects in Pakenham (Vic.)

1.Pakenham Community Hospital

2.Pakenham Revitalisation Project - Stage 1 (Main Street Gateway)

3.Pakenham Place Shopping Centre Redevelopment

4.Enterprise Industry Park

5.The Rise Estate - Pakenham

For sale in Pakenham (Vic.)

Recent sales in Pakenham (Vic.)

Indexed properties

Surrounding suburbs in Pakenham (Vic.)

Population growth in Pakenham (Vic.)

Jobs and industry in Pakenham (Vic.)

Household income in Pakenham (Vic.)

Housing & dwellings in Pakenham (Vic.)

Household composition in Pakenham (Vic.)

Schools & education in Pakenham (Vic.)

Services and amenities in Pakenham (Vic.)

Transport & commuting in Pakenham (Vic.)

Health services in Pakenham (Vic.)

Cultural diversity in Pakenham (Vic.)

Age profile in Pakenham (Vic.)

Child care in Pakenham (Vic.)

Dwelling mix

How homes are held

Ancestry

Suburb	Distance	People	Median	Growth	Sales
Pakenham	—	58,187	—	—	—
Officer South	4.7 km	1,903	—	—	—
Officer	5.3 km	26,128	—	—	—
Beaconsfield (Vic.)	8.8 km	8,796	—	—	—
Beaconsfield Upper	9.5 km	3,157	—	—	—
Clyde North	11.7 km	47,259	—	—	—
Berwick	11.9 km	55,392	—	—	—
Clyde (Vic.)	13.5 km	19,089	—	—	—
Koo Wee Rup	14.0 km	4,209	—	—	—
Narre Warren South	15.0 km	31,497	—	—	—
Cockatoo (Vic.)	15.1 km	4,595	—	—	—
Cranbourne North	15.2 km	26,019	—	—	—
Emerald (Vic.)	15.4 km	5,858	—	—	—
Cranbourne East	15.5 km	28,813	—	—	—
Narre Warren	15.7 km	28,604	—	—	—
Gembrook	15.8 km	2,623	—	—	—

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
University Qualifications	20.6%	37.0%	30.4%
–Bachelor Degree	13.6%	23.7%	20.0%
–Postgraduate Degree	4.8%	9.9%	7.6%
–Advanced Diploma	12.7%	11.2%	10.8%
–Certificate	27.0%	16.7%	22.0%
No Tertiary Qualifications	39.7%	35.2%	36.8%
Number of Schools	13	1,767	11,054
Total School Attendance	9,329	805,274	4,176,099
ICSEA Score	1,002	1,056	1,001
Education Drivers Ranking	54	97	100

#	School name	Type	Places	ICSEA	Distance (km)
1	Pakenham Secondary College	Secondary	918	959	0.19
2	St Patrick's School	Primary	357	985	0.19
3	ECG Secondary College - Pakenham Campus	Secondary	n.a	n.a	0.20
4	Oakwood School-Pakenham Campus	Secondary	n.a	n.a	0.43
5	Beaconhills College	Combined	2,950	1089	1.04
6	Lakeside College	Combined	620	1034	1.58
7	Pakenham Springs Primary School	Primary	723	998	1.59
8	Pakenham Consolidated School	Primary	639	959	1.77
9	John Henry Primary School	Primary	1,003	1018	2.23
10	Pakenham Hills Primary School	Primary	447	981	2.29
11	Edenbrook Secondary College	Secondary	514	996	2.76
12	Pakenham Lakeside Primary School	Primary	755	1004	2.92
13	Pakenham Primary School	Primary	403	1003	3.39

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Transport Stops	172	21,358	171,981
Routes	12	670	12,966
Weekly Trips	3,319	317,563	1,140,068
Avg Dist. Between Stops (m)	124	90	235
Avg Dist. to Local Pop. (m)	274	267	7,586
Population per Stop	343	256	161
Population per Trip	17.8	17.2	24.3
Population per Route	4,911	8,156	2,136
Public Transport Access Ranking	36	91	100
Vehicles per Dwelling	1.5	1.3	1.4
Work from Home	17.9%	32.6%	23.9%
Single Mode Commute	79.6%	64.8%	73.8%
Two Mode	2.1%	2.1%	1.9%
Three+ Mode	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%
–Car	89.8%	81.9%	84.1%
–Train	6.0%	7.7%	4.9%
–Bus	1.3%	2.4%	3.6%
–Walk	1.2%	3.2%	3.7%
–Cycle	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%
–Ferry	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
–Tram/Light Rail	0.1%	1.9%	0.5%
–Other	0.8%	0.9%	1.1%

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Private Health Cover Rate	49.7%	56.7%	55.7%
Need for Assistance	5.6%	5.5%	5.8%
Zero L/T Health Conditions	69.5%	72.6%	69.8%
One Long Term Condition	20.5%	19.3%	20.5%
Two Long Term Conditions	6.5%	5.5%	6.4%
3+ Long Term Conditions	3.4%	2.6%	3.3%
–Arthritis	6.7%	6.4%	7.7%
–Asthma	9.0%	7.3%	7.4%
–Cancer	2.1%	2.3%	2.6%
–Dementia / Alzheimers	0.4%	0.6%	0.7%
–Diabetes	4.5%	4.1%	4.3%
–Heart Disease	3.1%	3.1%	3.6%
–Kidney Disease	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
–Lung Condition	1.5%	1.1%	1.6%
–Mental Health Issue	9.3%	7.5%	8.0%
–Stroke	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
–Other Condition	7.3%	7.2%	7.3%

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Born Overseas	29.4%	37.3%	29.3%
Born in Australia	70.6%	62.7%	70.7%
Australian Citizens	82.6%	81.1%	83.8%
Speak English Only	75.5%	64.1%	76.4%
Speak Other Language	24.5%	35.9%	23.6%
Indigenous Population	0.9%	0.5%	2.2%
Largest Ethnic Group	English	English	English
Main Religion	Christianity	Christianity	Christianity
–Buddhism	2.6%	4.2%	2.6%
–Christianity	40.8%	43.0%	47.5%
–Hinduism	3.6%	4.4%	2.9%
–Islam	3.8%	5.6%	3.5%
–Judaism	0.1%	1.0%	0.4%
–Other	4.8%	2.3%	1.4%
–No Religion	44.4%	39.5%	41.6%

Metrici	Pakenham	Comparison areaGreater Melbourne	Comparison areaAustralia
Median Age	33	37	38
Largest Age Group	35 to 44	25 to 34	25 to 34
Children (0-14)	22.3%	17.5%	17.5%
Working Age (15-64)	65.0%	67.5%	64.7%
Seniors (65+)	12.9%	15.0%	17.8%
Age Distribution Variance	26.0%	22.0%	16.0%
Dependency Ratio	54.0%	48.0%	55.0%
Fastest Growing Age Group	85+	85+	85+