Upper Caboolture (Qld)

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According to ABS population updates for the surrounding region and subsequent address validations by Districts following the Census, the suburb of Upper Caboolture has an estimated population of 6,059 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 972 people (19.1%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 5,087 residents. The latest figures are based on an estimated resident population of 5,719 calculated by Districts using the June 2025 ABS ERP data release, supplemented by 764 validated new addresses added since the Census. This population level translates to a density of 383 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and potential for future expansion. The suburb of Upper Caboolture outpaced both the national average (9.3%) and the state average with its 19.1% growth rate since 2021, establishing it as a leading growth area in the region. The primary driver of this demographic expansion was interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 61.0% of the population increase, although natural growth and overseas migration also contributed positively.

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The labor market in Upper Caboolture features a mix of white and blue collar occupations, with construction standing out as a particularly strong sector. Statistical data aggregated by Districts indicates an unemployment rate of just 3.6% and an estimated employment growth of 5.1% over the previous year. On March 2026, the population employed totaled 2,933 people. The local unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than the Greater Brisbane figure of 4.3%, while workforce participation remained broadly comparable to Greater Brisbane's 70.4%. Census data revealed that only 11.9% of residents worked from home, though the influence of Covid-19 lockdown measures should be taken into account.

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According to the latest ATO postcode statistics for the 2023 financial year, personal incomes in the suburb of Upper Caboolture are below the national benchmark, showing a median income of $50,499 and an average income of $57,195. This is lower than the Greater Brisbane median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Adjusting these figures for the 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields estimated values of $56,236 for the median and $63,692 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that individual, household, and family earnings are centered around the 50th percentile nationally. The largest income cohort, comprising 39.4% of residents (2,387 people), earns between $1,500 and $2,999, which is comparable to the 33.3% representation in this bracket across the wider region. While housing costs consume of household income, strong baseline earnings keep disposable income at the th percentile, and the area is situated in the th decile of the SEIFA index of relative socio-economic advantage and disadvantage.

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Residential patterns in the suburb of Upper Caboolture at the time of the latest Census showed a high concentration of detached houses, which made up 96.5% of the housing stock, while apartments, townhouses, and other dwellings comprised 3.5%. This differs from the Brisbane metropolitan area, where houses constitute 73.5% of dwellings and other formats make up 26.5%. The home ownership rate was 25.8%, matching the Brisbane metro average, with the remaining properties occupied by mortgage holders (51.7%) or tenants (22.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,820, and the median weekly rent was $360, both of which are lower than the Brisbane metro averages of $1,863 and $380 respectively. At a national level, mortgage repayments in the area are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.

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Family households represent the vast majority of local homes at 84.8%, comprising couples with children at 40.4%, couples without children at 29.1%, and single-parent households at 14.6%. The remaining 15.2% are non-family households, consisting of single-person households at 12.7% and group housing arrangements at 2.3%. The median household size is 3.1 occupants, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

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Educational data shows lower levels of higher education in the area, with 12.6% of residents holding a university qualification compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 9.3%, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.7% and postgraduate degrees at 1.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 46.6% of residents aged 15 and over holding a trade qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 35.7%.

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Public transport in the suburb of Upper Caboolture is limited, consisting of 4 active bus stops. These stops are served by 1 routes, which provide a total of 109 weekly passenger journeys. Commuters are situated an average of 1012 meters from their nearest public transit stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb of Upper Caboolture, the vast majority of working residents travel outside the area for employment, with 91% commuting by private car and 5% by train. Household vehicle ownership averages 2.0 cars, which is higher than the regional average. A relatively low 11.9% of residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions.

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Health assessments indicate notable challenges in the suburb of Upper Caboolture, particularly regarding mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic health conditions across various age groups. Private health insurance coverage is relatively low, held by approximately 50% of residents (~3,021 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

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The suburb of Upper Caboolture shows lower cultural diversity than wider averages, with Australian-born residents making up 84.8% of the population, citizens representing 90.5%, and English-only speakers at home accounting for 95.5%. Christianity is the largest religious group, followed by 42.8% of residents. The most noticeable statistical difference is in Judaism, which is practiced by no residents compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

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The median age in the suburb of Upper Caboolture is 33 years, which is slightly younger than the Greater Brisbane median of 36 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, the suburb of Upper Caboolture has a higher percentage of children aged 5 to 14 years (16.3%) and a lower percentage of young adults aged 25 to 34 years (13.5%). Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 years grew from 3.6% to 6.1%, and those aged 35 to 44 years increased from 12.9% to 14.2%. Meanwhile, the cohort aged 45 to 54 years decreased from to . Long-term projections indicate that the age structure will change by with the to age group expected to expand by , adding people to reach a total of .

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Upper Caboolture currently has an estimated 399 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 207 children aged 0-2 and 138 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 14% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 21% by 2041 (to approximately 483 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 633. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 10.5 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.