Narre Warren North contains 5 Long Day Care centres (522 places), 2 preschool/kindergarten facilities (132 places) and 2 OSHC facilities (100 places), with overall provision relative to the local child population appearing favorable compared to national benchmarks, and above the Greater Melbourne average. Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 282 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 0.4 - placing the area among the top 20% nationally for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 0.6 children per place (upper quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show strong LDC provision for the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with 522 places across 5 facilities serving 174 children while preschool supply is similarly strong with 2 facilities providing 132 places (0.9 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6). Projected population decline of 8.9% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are strong employment performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 13.6 per 100 residents with 1,101 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This middle-of-the-road rate of school supply suggests most local students are residents within the immediate area. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is lower than average. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being relatively in line with national benchmarks. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
13 school catchments intersect Narre Warren North (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 6,502 children aged under 5 reside, served by 7,169 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 0.9 children per place, with moderate variance in this ratio.