Warner (Qld)

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Based on Districts' evaluation of ABS population updates for the wider region alongside new addresses verified by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Warner has a projected population of approximately 14,345 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 2,081 people (17.0%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 12,264 people. This shift is calculated from a resident population of 13,356, estimated by Districts using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) and an extra 516 validated new addresses post-Census. Such a population size results in a density of 1,354 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical ratio among national areas evaluated by Districts. The 17.0% expansion in the suburb of Warner since the 2021 census was higher than both the national average (9.3%) and the SA3 area, positioning it as a regional growth leader. This expansion was chiefly supported by natural growth, which supplied roughly 59.0% of the overall population rise in recent times, though interstate migration, overseas migration, and all other drivers also remained positive.

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Warner has a highly qualified labor force with strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 2.8%, and steady employment levels over the prior year, according to aggregated statistical area data from Districts. In March 2026, there were 8,174 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 1.5% below the Greater Brisbane rate of 4.3%, while workforce participation stood well above average at 80.6% compared to 70.4% in Greater Brisbane. Census data indicates a moderate 18.3% of workers worked from home, though this may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions.

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According to the latest postcode-level ATO statistics released by Districts for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Warner earn a median income of $66,594 and an average income of $76,547. This is highly elevated on a national scale, compared to a median of $58,236 and an average of $72,799 in Greater Brisbane. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to roughly $74,159 (median) and $85,243 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places Warner's family, household, and personal incomes in the 81st to 83rd percentiles nationally. The weekly earnings distribution is dominated by the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, which accounts for 42.5% of residents ( people), mirroring regional patterns where are in this bracket. High earners comprise a notable segment, with earning over weekly, pointing to robust household purchasing power. Even though high housing costs account for of income, strong earnings keep disposable income in the nd percentile, and the SEIFA income index places the area in the th decile.

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Residential structures in Warner at the time of the latest Census consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.8% other options like semi-detached homes, apartments, or alternative dwellings, compared to 73.5% houses and 26.5% other options across metro Brisbane. Home ownership in Warner was lower than the Brisbane metro average at 20.3%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (49.1%) or rented (30.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Brisbane metro average at $1,980, while median weekly rent was $420, compared to metro averages of $1,863 and $380 respectively. Nationally, mortgage payments in Warner exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are notably higher than the national average of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 85.3%, consisting of 46.6% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 11.5% single-parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.7%, with lone-person households representing 13.1% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size of 3.0 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

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Attainment of higher education in Warner is lower than regional benchmarks, with 24.4% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree compared to 30.5% in the SA3 area, suggesting opportunities for further education and skill acquisition. Bachelor degrees represent the most common higher qualification at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational and technical training is prominent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (27.8%).

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Analysis of public transport shows 17 active stops operating in Warner, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected to 4 distinct routes, which together provide 343 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average of 414 meters from the nearest stop. Because the area is mostly residential, many workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary travel mode at 90%, and trains accounting for 7%. Average car ownership is 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. In the 2021 Census, 18.3% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

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Health indicators show positive trends for Warner residents. Districts' evaluation of health conditions and mortality rates shows results that match national benchmarks, though common health conditions are slightly more frequent than average across younger and older age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, covering approximately 58% of the population (~8,252 people).

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Warner shows higher cultural diversity than average, with 11.3% of the population speaking a non-English language at home and 21.9% born abroad. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 51.9% of Warner residents. The most notable religious overrepresentation is Hinduism, which represents 3.4% of the population compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane.

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Warner's median age of 34 makes it younger than Greater Brisbane's median of 36 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner has a larger proportion of residents aged 5 - 14 (14.7%) but fewer aged 75 - 84 (3.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 demographic has increased from 5.7% to 6.8% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort rose from 2.7% to 3.8%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 16.2% to 14.7%, and the 25 to demographic fell from to . Demographic projections for suggest major shifts for Warner. The to age group is projected to see the largest growth at , adding residents to total . Aging trends persist as residents aged and older account for of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are expected within the to and to demographics.

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Warner currently has an estimated 1,032 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 509 children aged 0-2 and 338 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 4% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 6% by 2041 (to approximately 969 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,649. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 11.1 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.